Will’s Market Letter
The third quarter of 2020 has been a good summer in general in the US equity markets and a very good summer for owners of large-capitalization growth stocks. See chart watches for large cap index, US Government Bond Yields, and more in exciting news around financial planning.
Happy New Year! 2019 ended up being a good year for anyone exposed to the equity markets. As January 2020 has unfolded the market’s attention has been grabbed by a Chinese coronavirus that does not yet have a cure. The uncertainties of the virus’ spread and the resulting potential economic impacts has brought selling pressure into the market. What will be in store for the rest of the year?
2019 has been a very dynamic period by whatever metric you’d like to use as a qualifier. On the Outer Banks we use storm names, or the surf crew marks notable swells, or fishermen and women note the quality of shrimp or trout seasons. In the financial world, 2019 as of early October will be remembered for low interest rates, discernment on the part of investors, and trade wars.
2018 ended with some aggressive, indiscriminate selling that seemed to suggest hedge funds or mutual funds being forced to liquidate before year-end. The selling also suggested hopeful market bears, long-starved for a win, trying to change the market’s tone for the first quarter of 2019.
The second quarter of 2018 was a largely positive time for investments, trademarked with a rolling bull and shallow rolling bear markets in different US economic sectors. Learn more about 2018’s potential trade war with China, treasury bonds, rising interest rates, and more.
Nice to be back in the office after a bit of internal tune-up work. I had bypass surgery on April 24th at Norfolk Heart Hospital and am happy to be progressing through the phases of recovery. Having known almost nothing about the whole cardiac health matrix except that my father and grandfather had heart issues, this spring has provided a robust learning curve. Please reach out with any questions about the process that you or a loved one may have; there are amazing resources close by and if you’re like me, fear of the unknown ends up being the worst fear of all…
We’ve been correcting a bit in the equity markets the last few days, but I’d have to say that 2017 has turned out to be one of the better market environments I can ever recall. There is coordinated global expansion underway and world equity markets have ticked higher in support.
Increased productivity, low unemployment, and disinflation put investment capital to work around the world. The third quarter of 2017 yielded corporate earnings for many sectors expect for retail. Could the retail apocalypse issue lower earnings or completely destroy the sector?